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ဆယ်စုနှစ်တစ်ခုစာကမ္ဘာ့စီးပွားရေးမြင်ကွင်း

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ဒေါ်လာတန်ဖိုးယိမ်းယိုင်လာခဲ့မှုကြီး
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? ဒေါ်လာတန်ဖိုးကျဆင်းမှုကြီးကတော်ရုံသင့်ရုံမဟုတ်ပဲ အတော်ကျဆင်းလာတာက မျက်လုံးပြူးစရာကို ဖြစ်ခဲ့ပြီး အိမ်ရာမြေ ငှားရမ်းမှု ကလည်း ဒေါ်လာကျဆင်းတဲ့အချိန်နဲ့
တစ်ပူးတည်းဖြစ်တဲ့အခါမှာ စိုးရိမ်မှု အဆင့်ကနေ ထိတ်လန့်တကြား အဆင့်ထိ ရောက်သွားလေတော့သည်။
? အဲအခါမှာ ဟိုလူအပြစ်တင်, ဒီလူအပြစ်တင်နဲ့ အပြစ်တင်ပွဲကြီးကိုစတင်ဆင်နွှဲတော့တာပဲ ! အမေရိကန်ပေါ်လစီချမှတ်သူတွေကလည်း အီရတ်စစ်, အာဖဂန်စစ်လောက်ပဲစိတ်ဝင်စားပြီးအင်အားကြီးတဲ့ဒေါ်လာလို့သာအော်တတ်ပြီး ကျဆင်းလာတဲ့အချိန်ကျမှ အားလုံးက ကြက်သေသေကြနေတော့တာပဲ။
? အမေရိကန်နိုင်ငံရေးအချိူ့လုပ်တဲ့သူတွေကလည်း တရုတ်ကိုအပြစ်တင်
ဒေါ်လာကိုကျဆင်းအောင်လုပ်တဲ့သူဆိုပြီးစွပ်စွဲ၊ အမှန်တကယ်က တရုတ်ကဒေါ်လာကျဆင်းဖို့ကိုမလိုလားတဲ့အချိန်အခါတစ်ရပ် ဖြစ်သည်။
ဒေါ်လာကျဆင်းအောင်ဝှက်ဖဲ့ကိုင်ခဲ့တဲ့သူ
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? ဒေါ်လာရဲ့ဝင်ငွေ, ထွက်ငွေ, ပြည်ပငွေစာရင်းရှင်းတမ်းလုပ်မှ လိုငွေပြမှုသည် ဒေါ်လာကိုကျဆင်းအောင်လုပ်တော့မည်ဆိုတဲ့ အချက်ကို သတိထားခဲ့သင့်ပါသည်။
? ပေါ်လစီချမှတ်သူကဒေါ်လာတန်ဖိုးကျဆင်းတာကကောင်းတဲ့အချက်ဆိုပြီးကြိုဆိုခဲ့တယ်… မှန်သင့်သလောက်တော့ မှန်ပါတယ်။
? ဒေါ်လာတန်ဖိုးကို ကျဆင်းအောင် အဓိကကြိုးကိုင်ခဲ့တာက တရုတ်ပြည်နဲ့ အာရပ်တို့ပဲဖြစ်ခဲ့ကြတယ်။ သူတို့၂ ဦးလက်ထဲမှာဒေါ်လာအလျှံအပယ်ရှိတယ် ။အာရပ်က ရေနံထွက်တဲ့နိုင်ငံလည်းဖြစ်တယ်။ အဓိကတော့ သံတမန်စကားပြောရင် ဒေါ်လာစျေးတွေဆက်မကျအောင်တရုတ်နဲ့အာရပ်တို့ရဲ့ပူပေါင်းမှုကိုလိုလားခြင်းဖြစ်တယ်။
? ဒေါ်လာတန်ဖိုးကျဆင်းမှုကြောင့်ယူရိုငွေကြေးသည်အခြားရွေးချယ်စရာငွေကြေးတစ်ခုဖြစ်လာခဲ့တယ်။ အဲကနေစပြီး ယူရိုငွေကြေးက ကမ္ဘာသုံးငွေရာထူးကို ခွဲဝေပြီး တာဝန်ယူရသည့်သဘောဖြစ်လာသည်။
? ဤအချက်ကို ဒေါ်လာထီးနန်းကျတယ်လို့ မပြောလိုဘူးဆိုရင်တော့ Breeton wood system ကုန်ဆုံးသွားတယ်လို့ပြောလို့ရပါတယ်။
? ဘရက်တန်ဝုဒ်System အရအမေရိကန်ဒေါ်လာကသာတစ်ခုတည်းသောကမ္ဘာငွေကြေးအဖြစ်အသိမှတ်ပြုခဲ့ကြတာပါ။အခုတော့ ဖြင့် ယူရိုကပါ ဒေါ်လာတန်ဖိုးကျပြီးကမ္ဘာငွေကြေးသူံးစနစ်ဖြစ်လာတော့အပေါ်က ဘရက်တန်ဝုဒ် သဘောတူညီချက်ကြီး နိဂုံးချုပ်သွားတော့တာပေါ့။
ဘာလုပ်နိုင်မလဲ???
? အကြောင်းအရာ ၃ ချက်ရှိတယ်.
ပထမတစ်ချက်က စီပွားရေးတိုးတတ်လာတဲ့နိုင်ငံတွေက သူတို့ငွေကြေးကိုအမေရိကန်ဒေါ်လာနဲ့နှူန်းသေသတ်မှတ်ထားပြီး စီးပွားရေးအခြေနေမကောင်းတာနဲ့ နှူန်းသေကိုပြောင်းလဲချပြစ်တာက ဒေါ်လာကို တန်ဖိုးကျဆင်းအောင်လုပ်တာနဲ့တူတူပါပဲ
ဒုတိယအကြောင်းအရာက-
? နိုင်ငံတော်တော်များများကသူတို့ငွေပိုငွေလျှံကို အမေရိကန်ပိုင် အက်ဆက်တွေဝယ်ပြီးစုဆောင်းကြတယ်. ဒေါ်လာတန်ဖိုးမတည်ငြိမ်တာနဲ့ ဒေါ်လာအက်စက်တွေကိုအခြားငွေကြေးဖြင့်တန်ဖိုးဖြတ်ပြောင်းလဲဖြစ်တယ်.. အဲအရာတွေက ဒေါ်လာတန်ဖိုးကိုယိုင်းယိုင်စေခဲ့တော့တာပဲ။
? တတိယကတော့ အိမ်ရာအပေါင်လုပ်ငန်း ချေးငှားမှုလုပ်ငန်းတွေ အခက်ကြုံပြီးဒုက္ခတွေ့တော့ ဒေါ်လာတန်ဖိုးလည်းထိုးကျတာပေါ့။
အညံ့စားအိမ်ခြံမြေတွေကို အပေါင်ခံခြင်းကို Subprime ဟုခေါ်သည်။ အပေါင်လုပ်ငန်းက စိုက်ဆင်းသွားတော့ အမေရိကန်ဒေါ်လာကလည်း အညံစားဖြစ်သွားတယ်လို့ ပြောလိုခြင်းဖြစ်တယ်။
? အဲတော့ ဒေါ်လာတန်ဖိုးပြိုလဲခြင်းကို ဘာတွေလုပ်နိုင်မလဲမေးခွန်းထုတ်လိုက်တော့ အဖြေက ငါးမျိုးထွက်လာတယ်။
1) အမေရိကန်တွေက ကိုယ့်ငွေကိုဂရုစိုက်ပါ
2)ငွေကြေးစျေးကွက်တွေထဲကိုဝင်စွက်ဖက်ပါ
3)အတိုးနှုန်းမြင့်တင့်ပါ
4)ဒေါ်လာနဲ့ချိတ်ထားတဲ့နိုင်ငံတွေအားလုံးနဲ့ပူးပေါင်းဆောင်ရွက်ပါ
5)တရုတ်နဲ့ငွေကြေးဆိုင်ရာပူပေါင်းဆောင်ရွက်မှုကို မြင့်တင့်ပါ ဟူ ၍ဖြစ်သည်။
အကျဉ်းချူပ်ပြောရရင်တော့-
? 2008 ခုနှစ်ကမ္ဘာစီးပွားရေးပျက်ကိန်းသဘော တရားမှာ ဒေါ်လာတွေဟာပြိုလဲ… ပြိုလဲချိန်မှာပဲ ဘရက်တန်ဝုဒ် စနစ်လည်းပျက်သွားတယ်။တရုတ်နဲ့အာရပ်ကလည်း ပူပေါင်းတာကိုလိုချင်ခဲ့ကြတာဖြစ်ပြီး နောက်ဆုံးတော့ နည်းလမ်း၅ သွယ်နဲ့ ပြန်ပြီးထူထောင်ဖို့ကြိုးစားကြကာ 2012 ,2013,2014 မှာပြန်နလံထူကောင်းလာပြီး 2015မှာ အတိုးနှူန်းမြင့်တင့်မှုကိုအကောင်အထည်ဖော်လာနိုင်ခဲ့ကြတယ်။
? အတိုးနှုန်းမြင့်တင်မှုအချိန်မှာ အမေရိကန်ဘဏ္ဏာရေးYellen က ကျွန်မဟာ အတိုးနှုန်းမြင့်တယ်ဆိုတာ Commodity စျေးကွက်တွေကို ကျဆင်းဖို့လုံးဝ မဟုတ်ပါဘူး လို့ပြောခဲဲ့တဲ့ စကားတစ်ခွန်းအရှိန်ဟာ 1050$ ကနေ 1300$ထိ ရွှေကို နှစ်အနည်းငယ်တွင်းတတ်လာခဲ့တော့တာပဲ…
ဒါဖြင့်အတိုးနှုန်းတင်ရင် ရွှေက ကျဆင်းရမှာမဟုတ်လား?
အဲအချိန်မှာရေနံစျေးကျဆင်းလာတာ 27,26ထိ ဖြစ်ပြီးကမ္ဘာပညာရှင်တွေရေနံကို (0)ထိတောင်ဖြစ်လာနိုင်တယ်။
ဘာလို့လဲဆိုအမေရိကန်ဆောင်းရာသီမှာရေနံတွေခဲပြီး အလုပ်လက်မဲ့နှုန်းတွေ Energy Market တွေကျဆင်း နေပါတယ်…
ရည်ရွယ်ချက် 2% ဆိုပေမဲ့
တကယ်မြင့်တင့်လိုက်တာဟာ 0.25%ပဲဖြစ်ပြီး Speakစကားလုံး လျှို့ဝှက်ချက်ဟာ Gradually Hight ဆိုတဲ့စကားလုံးပဲဖြစ်ပါတယ်။
? ဒါကြောင့်သင့်ဟာ Stock , Forex , Indices ,CFD တွေကိုရောင်းဝယ်ပြီးဝင်ငွေရှာနေတယ်ဆိုရင် ပညာရှင်တွေရဲ့Speak ကိုလည်းသိထားသင့်ပါတယ်။
#Dipa_FxKing
#FOREXTrading

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